Tony T's Mets vs. Phillies Total

Philadelphia Phillies (95-68) vs New York Mets (92-74)

Sunday, October 06, 2024 at 4:08 pm

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Luis Severino to start for NY. Severino has 31 starts in 2024 carrying an ERA of 3.91 with WHIP of 1.24. The veteran strikes out 21.2% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. Cristopher Sanchez to start for Philadelphia. Sanchez in 31 starts has an ERA of 3.32 with WHIP of 1.24. The lefthander strikes out 20.3% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 57.4% with 0.54 home runs per nine innings. The Pick: Severino in his past three starts allowed ten earned runs with four homers in 16 innings of work. Sanchez in his past three starts allowed seven runs with three homers and seven walks in 16 2/3rd innings. Past ten games the Mets bullpen has an ERA of 4.59 with the Phillies at 4.81. The team is 7-2 to the over behind Severino when a road underdog of +100 or higher. NY is 14-4 to the over when an underdog of +125 to +175. Philadelphia is 16-10 to the over at home against the Division. Play NY and Philadelphia over 7.5.

Tony’s Pick Over: 7.5 -115

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