Tony T's Browns vs. Commanders Total

Premium Pick Win

Washington Commanders (3-1) vs Cleveland Browns (1-3)

Sunday, October 06, 2024 at 1:00 pm

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Cleveland right end is questionable as is their left and right tackle. On defense a linebacker is out. Washington receiver Brown is out with running back Robinson and left guard are questionable. On defense their defensive end is out. Cleveland fell to 1-3 following their 20-16 road defeat to Las Vegas. The Browns gained 241 yards with 92 rushing for 4.2 yards a carry. On defense they allowed 268 yards to the Raiders with 152 rushing for 5.2 yards a carry. Deshaun Watson connected on 24 of 32 for 176 yards with a touchdown and interception. Washington improved to 3-1 after their 42-14 road win at Arizona. The Commanders gained 449 yards with 216 rushing for 58 yards a carry. On defense they held the Cardinals to 296 yards with 115 passing on 22 attempts. Jayden Daniels went 26 of 30 for 233 yards with a touchdown and interception. The Pick: Washington has a clear injury advantage against the Browns. The Commanders defensive injury ratings is 90.2 to the Browns offense at 77.5 on the Chao numbers. Cleveland is rushing for 4.3 yards a carry but a very poor passing team with 61.5% completions for 4.1 yards per pass attempt. The team defends the pass well by allowing 58.7% completions for 5.8 yards per pass attempt. The Commanders are running for 5.1 yards a carry with 82.1% completions for 8 yards per pass attempt. Despite healthy defensively the Commanders are giving up 5.3 yards per run with 72% completion rate for 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Cleveland is 6-2 to the over on the road against a team that allows 7 yards per pass attempt or greater. The Commanders are 3-1 to the over this season. Play Cleveland Washington over 43.5.

Tony’s Pick Over: 43.5 -110

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