Indiana Hoosiers (2-3) vs Michigan State Spartans (6-0)
Saturday, October 16, 2021 at 12:00 pm
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers + the points over Michigan State. Mel Tucker's Spartans are a spotless 6-0 on the season, and they're 5-0-1 ATS. But we will fade Michigan State as a road favorite in Bloomington against a rested Hoosiers squad. Indiana last took the field against the then-undefeated Penn State Nittany Lions, and was shut out, 24-0 (coincidentally, the same score by which Indiana defeated Michigan State in East Lansing last season). But over the last 42 years, underdogs of +3 (or more) points off shutout home losses have cashed 63.3% vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. Indeed, Michigan State was in this exact same situation last season following its 24-0 home loss to Indiana, and rebounded to upset Northwestern, 29-20, as a 13.5-point underdog (when Northwestern was 5-0 SU and 4-0 ATS). Take Indiana to pull off the mild upset. Grab the points with the Hoosiers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.