UNLV Runnin' Rebels (3-6) vs New Mexico Lobos (4-7)
Monday, January 18, 2021 at 9:30 pm
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos + the points over UNLV. We were 7-1 in basketball over the weekend. Our one losing selection was on these Lobos against this same UNLV team when they played on Saturday here, at Thomas & Mack Center. The Rebels blew out the Lobos by 23 in that game but, at the risk of being stubborn, we'll come right back with New Mexico today. Notwithstanding its SU/ATS win on Saturday, UNLV is still a wallet-breaking 2-11 ATS its last 13, and 39-71-3 ATS its last 113 at home vs. conference foes, if the Rebels were favored by more than 8 points. And if the Rebels were priced from -10 to -14.5 points vs. .500 (or worse) conference foes, then they've gone 2-19 ATS. Additionally, so far in 2021, NCAA road underdogs off exactly one loss, that lost earlier in the season to their opponent, and failed to cover in that previous defeat by more than 12 points, have gone 14-5 ATS, including 7-0 ATS when priced from +3 to +17 points. Finally, home favorites of 12+ points, off back to back wins, have covered just 59 of 167 vs. Mountain West foes. Take New Mexico. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.