Brett's Saturday Night College Football "Early Games" Premium 3-game Package - Game 1

SMU Mustangs (7-2) vs UCF Knights (6-3)

Saturday, November 13, 2021 at 12:00 pm

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SMU Mustangs -7

The UCF Knights will travel to Gerald J. Ford Stadium to take on the SMU Mustangs this Saturday afternoon and I expect SMU to bounce back from back-to-back losses in this one for a big victory in this one.

SMU has one of the more explosive offenses in College Football as they are averaging 483.8 total yards per game (322.2 passing yds/g; 161.6 rushing yds/g). SMU has one of the mor explosive passing attacks led by QB Tenner Mordecai who had 34 TD’s on the season and one of the better overall WR units.

UCF has been playing well as of late, however, this is a team that hasn’t looked that great on the offensive end at times this season and it was pretty concerning to see that Knights only about to put 14 points on a Tulane defense recently that is allowing almost 40.0 ppg this season.

The Knights are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Mustangs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

SMU has been lights out at home this season and as I think the offensive gets back on track in this one against UCF, I think the Mustangs win this one by double-digits and cover this spread.

Brett’s Pick SMU Mustangs: -7 -110

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