Brett's Saturday Night NBA "Fast Break" Premium Over Pick

Los Angeles Lakers / Portland Trail Blazers – Over 222

The Los Angeles Lakers will take on the Portland Trail Blazers tonight and I’m expecting a bunch of scoring in this game.

Los Angeles will be without Lebron James tonight, however, I think that favors this Over as Lebron is a decent defender and the Lakers have really pushed the pace with him off the floor as they come into this game ranked 2nd in the NBA in Pace. The Lakers rank 6th in scoring offense at 112.3 ppg and have really struggled defensively, ranking 26th in scoring defense at 112.0 ppg.

Portland doesn’t push the pace as much at the Lakers, however, they still have done a great job scoring the basketball as they currently rank 8th in scoring offense at 110.9 ppg. Portland has struggled on the defensive end this season is a big reason why they come into this game with an overall 4-5 record as the Trail Blazers ranks just 21st in scoring defense at 109.3 ppg.

Over is 4-0 in the Lakers last 4 games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

I expect this to be a fast-paced games and although the line continues to move up, I think this one has no trouble combining for 225+ points and hits the Over! Good Luck!

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