Brett's Sunday NFL "Red Zone" Premium 3-game Package - Game 1

Premium Pick Loss

Buffalo Bills -14.5

The Buffalo Bills will travel to TIAA Bank Field to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars this Sunday afternoon and despite being more than a two TD road favorite, I’m backing the Bills as a premium pick.

Jacksonville was able to pick up a decent win against Miami a few weeks ago but make no mistake, this is not a very good football team as the Jaguars come into this game ranked just 28th in both scoring offense & defense and could be without arguably their best playmaker in James Robinson who is questionable for this matchup due to a heel injury.

Buffalo, despite the slow start against Miami last week, is arguably the team to beat in the AFC this season as they have an explosive offense led by Josh Allen & Stefon Diggs and come into this game with the top-ranked scoring defense in the NFL.

The Bills are 3-0-1 ATS in their lats 4 games following a ATS loss and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Jaguars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Jacksonville has issues with turnovers which is going to be an issue for the Jaguars in this one and as I think the Josh Allen led offensive attack will have no problem putting up 35-40 points against the Jaguars, I think the play here is to take Buffalo to cover.

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