Detroit Titans (1-1) vs Ohio Bobcats (1-1)
Wednesday, November 16, 2022 at 7:00 pm
My math model favors Detroit in this game and the Titans apply to a very good 51-20 ATS (71.8%) system that invests on certain home teams off a loss as underdogs in which they covered the spread versus teams that had a winning record the previous season. This situation has covered the spread by an average margin of +3.6 points per game since 1997. Detroit is 13-2-1 ATS in its last sixteen home games (8-1 ATS L/2 seasons), 12-5-1 ATS in its last eighteen games following a loss and 9-1-1 ATS in its previous eleven home affairs versus teams with a losing road record, including 6-0-1 ATS if the opponent’s road mark is .399 or worse. Let’s also note that the underdog is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings in this series. Ohio arrives off an 81-70 win over Cleveland State, which is significant in that the Bobcats are 3-12 ATS off a home game and 1-9 ATS off a home win by ten or more points over the last two seasons. With the Bobcats standing at 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games and 0-4 ATS in their last four games off a win, grab the points with the live home underdog and invest with confidence.