JEFF'S NCAA HOOPS VEGAS INSIDER (9-0 RUN!)

My math model only favors Abilene Christian by 0.26 points in this game and the Wildcats are 0-8 ATS on the road after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games since 1997. Northern Arizona returns all five starters from last year’s team, including former Virginia Tech transfer Jalen Cone, who averaged 18.8 points per game last season. Cone ranked third in the Big Sky Conference in scoring, fifth in free-throw percentage and ninth in both field goal percentage and assists. The talented junior currently leads the Lumberjacks with 11.7 points per game and is joined in the backcourt by Grand Canyon transfer Liam Lloyd, who is averaging 10.1 points per game. Northern Arizona’s frontcourt is anchored by super senior Nik Mains, who made 75 three-pointers last season on a team-high 40.1% from beyond the arc. Redshirt sophomore Carson Towt ranked second in the league in rebounding last season and once again leads the Lumberjacks in that department, averaging 9.0 boards per game. This is the best Northern Arizona squad since 2014-15 and head coach Shane Burcar used the transfer portal to create competition for minutes at every position. Grab the points with the live home underdog and invest with confidence.