Los Angeles Dodgers (34-22) vs Washington Nationals (23-32)
Wednesday, May 31, 2023 at 4:10 pm
Since 2008, large favorites of -210 or more are 1872-650 SU (74.2%; +4.4% ROI) and 1462-1054 RL (58.1%; +4.6% ROI) in games with a total of eight or more runs, including 1275-409 SU (75.7%; +5.9% ROI) and 1006-679 RL (59.7%; +4.9% ROI) since 2016. Los Angeles falls into a very good 2232-872 SU (71.9%; +2.1% ROI) and 1416-1171 RL (+2.4% ROI) system of mine that dates to 2003 and invests on certain large home favorites from Game 40 out. This situation is 661-212 SU (75.7%; +5.7% ROI) and 498-375 RL (57%; +2.8% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average margin of +2.23 runs per game. Since 2004, MLB home favorites of -160 or greater are 473-239 SU (66.4%; +1.8% ROI) and 357-353 RL (+3.9% ROI) with a starting pitcher off a loss in his previous outing in which he allowed eight or more runs, winning by an average of +1.74 runs per game. Since 2002, Los Angeles is 107-39 SU (73.3%; +15.2% ROI) and 67-53 RL (+13.9% ROI) in home games with a total of nine or more runs, including 57-14 SU (80.3%; +15.1% ROI) and 44-27 RL (+18.5% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of +2.54 runs per game. The Dodgers are 71-20 SU (78%; +10% ROI) and 61-30 RL (67%; +24.2% ROI) since September 24, 2020, coming off a home game versus starting pitchers with an ERA of 4.01 or worse, winning by an average of +2.76 runs per game. The Dodgers are 37-1 SU (97.4%; +37.5% ROI) and 32-5 RL (86.5%; +62% ROI) as large home favorites in the final game of a series following a win in which they never trailed, winning by an average of +4.50 runs per game. Since 2005, the Dodgers are 190-99 SU (65.7%; +13.3% ROI) and 140-126 RL (+4.6% ROI) when going for a series sweep, including 62-22 SU (73.8%; +16.3% ROI) and 51-33 RL (60.7%; +18.2% ROI) since 2019. Finally, Washington applies to very negative 2617-4647 (36%; -4.2% ROI), 2284-4078 (35.9%; -4.4% ROI) and 802-1967 (29%; -10.9% ROI) systems of mine that have cost bettors over -$55,500 against the run line since 2002. Take Los Angeles and invest with confidence.