Purdue Boilermakers (33-4) vs NC State Wolfpack (26-14)
Saturday, April 06, 2024 at 6:09 pm
My selection is on Purdue minus the points over N.C. State at 6:05 pm et on Saturday.
Purdue was involved in a nail-biter against Tennessee in the Elite Eight. I don't expect Saturday's Final Four clash with N.C. State to be as close. All credit to the Wolfpack for getting here, they've been on an incredible run going back to to the ACC Tournament. I don't like the spot here, however. Note that N.C. State checks in off a 12-point victory over Duke in the Elite Eight. The Wolfpack are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games following a double-digit win over a conference opponent including 1-2 ATS in that situation this season. N.C. State is also 4-11 ATS in its last 15 contests after covering the spread in consecutive games, as is the case here, including a 3-5 ATS mark in that spot this season. Purdue is a long-term 29-18 ATS in its last 47 NCAA Tournament games including a perfect 4-0 ATS record this year. It almost seems as if opponents have been overlooking N.C. State for weeks now. With the nearly week-long build-up to this contest, I don't expect Purdue to suffer the same fate. Take Purdue (8*).
Sean’s Pick Purdue Boilermakers: -9 -110
AUTHOR: Sean Murphy
