STL/PHI

Premium Pick Win

Philadelphia Phillies (6-6) vs St. Louis Cardinals (6-6)

Friday, April 16, 2021 at 7:05 pm

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*3 Star Play on Phillies ML* The St. Louis Cardinals start Carlos Martinez here and he has been terrible both last year and in his first two starts of this season. Martinez had a swinging strike rate of just 8.0% last year and only 9.4% so far this year. He had a 9.90 ERA last year and an xERA of 5.97. He has an ERA of 6.30 so far this year with an ugly xERA of 8.97. He hasn't faced great lineups in his first two starts of the year either.

The Phillies have been slumping lately, but Philadelphia clearly has a good lineup. They have a strong middle of the order and the bottom of the order is much stronger than it was a couple years ago as well.

Zach Eflin has been very solid so far this year. Eflin also has drastic splits in his career. He is much better early in the year. Eflin has a stellar 2.96 ERA and .265 OBP allowed in March/April in his career. He has also been much better when pitching at home. He has had an ERA and an xERA under 4 both last year and so far this season. Eflin has a solid 11.2% Swinging strike rate.

Take the Phillies here.

Kyle’s Pick Philadelphia Phillies: -130

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