CFB- Boise State vs Fresno State

Premium Pick Loss

Boise State Broncos (9-3) vs Fresno State Bulldogs (8-4)

Saturday, December 03, 2022 at 4:00 pm

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MW Championship Game

 

Boise State took out Fresno State 40-20 earlier this season, and Im betting the Bulldogs will not have a big enough turn around to get the revenge win in the rematch. Boise is 11-1 SU L/12 at home this series and have won 5 of 6 home games . Home field advantage will prevail once again.

BOISE ST is 33-17 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. Tedford is 14-28 ATS  when the line is +3 to -3 in all games he has coached since 1992.

 CFB home team vs. the money line (BOISE ST) - with an excellent defense - allowing 285 or less total yards/game, after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 29-2 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18.7. 

CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (FRESNO ST) - revenging a road loss against opponent by 14 points or more, off 3 straight wins against conference rivals are 13-38 ATS L/30 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Boise State to cover 

Alex’s Pick Boise State Broncos: -3 -114

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