CFB- Georgia vs LSU - Total

Georgia Bulldogs (12-0) vs LSU Tigers (9-3)

Saturday, December 03, 2022 at 4:00 pm

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SEC Championship Game - Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA

This total has steamed up by almost 5 points since opening and now that it's been over done Ill come back and take a contrarian stance and hit the under offering. 

Georgia has allowed 12.4 ppg on the road this season.The Dawgs have allowed 20 or less points in their L/7 games.( 10, 0, 20, 13, 19, 6, 14) Im betting Georgia will not allow more than 17 this week, while my own projections estimate a 31 point offensive output . 

GEORGIA is 6-0 UNDER when they score 29 to 35 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 42.8 ppg scored.

Kelly is 16-6 UNDER  in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or more  yards/game in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 49.9 ppg scored. 

GEORGIA is 11-3 UNDER (+7.7 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 47.4 ppg scored.

CFB  Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (LSU) - after having won 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games are 35-8 UNDER L/30 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with a combined average of 43 ppg scored.

CFB  team against the total (GEORGIA) - outrushing their opponents by 1.75 or more yards/carry on the season, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 5 straight games are 44-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate with a combined average of 46.5 ppg scored.

Play UNDER

Alex’s Pick Under: 52 -110

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