CBB- total - Mich St vs NW

Premium Pick Win

Michigan State Spartans (5-3) vs Northwestern Wildcats (5-2)

Sunday, December 04, 2022 at 7:00 pm

Click Here for the Latest Odds

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My projections estimate a Total that should be closer to 132 thus giving us value with an over wager here as we have a more than two possession edge based on my numbers.

NORTHWESTERN is 10-0 OVER L/10 off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite with a combined average of 129 ppg scored.

MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 OVER  after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 146.5 ppg scored.

CBB Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (MICHIGAN ST) - excellent ball handling team - committing 12  or less turnovers/game, after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers are 50-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate with a combined average of 132.4 ppg scored.

Play OVER

Alex’s Pick Over: 125.5 -110

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss