Auburn Tigers (16-5) vs Georgia Bulldogs (14-7)
Wednesday, February 01, 2023 at 7:00 pm
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
My totals projection comes in at 146 giving us a full two possession edge to the over on this totals offering.
AUBURN is 8-0 OVER versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 147.9 ppg scored.AUBURN is 20-8 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 148.9 ppg scored.Pearl is 17-7 OVER in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts after 15+ games as the coach of AUBURN with a combined average of 151.4 ppg scored.
GEORGIA is 14-5 OVER in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 154.6 ppg going on the board.GEORGIA is 8-1 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 156.5 ppg scored.GEORGIA is 12-4 OVER as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.
CBB Road teams against the total (GEORGIA) - excellent free throw shooting team (73% or better ) against a good free throw shooting team (69-73%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 50-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 149.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.
Play over