Colorado Buffaloes (19-9) vs Stanford Cardinal (12-16)
Sunday, March 03, 2024 at 9:00 pm
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
Two teams currently playing at the opposite ends of the performance spectrum, has the lines-makers over compensating , which gives us value with the underdog. Stanford is 12-16 this season (7-10 Pac-12) with conference wins over then-No. 4 Arizona, Arizona State, Utah, UCLA, USC, Washington and Oregon State and must not be underestimated in their ability to compete here in Colorado today. Michael Jones and Angel both rank in the top-25 nationally in effective field goal percentage and the top-20 in true shooting percentage and wehn in top form can power this team past the best of sides. Stanford shoots 37.8 percent from three this season, second-best in the Pac-12 and ranking 17th in the country and because of this become strong back door cover opportunists.
COLORADO is 7-16 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Boyle is 9-22 ATS off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more as the coach of COLORADO.
STANFORD is 14-5 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Haase is 14-4 ATS vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game after 15+games in all games he has coached since 1997.
Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (STANFORD) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals against opponent off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 93-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Stanford to cover
Alex’s Pick Stanford Cardinal: +13.5 -110
AUTHOR: Alex Smart
