MLB ML Afternoon action

Premium Pick Win

Chicago Cubs (24-30) vs Tampa Bay Rays (39-18)

Wednesday, May 31, 2023 at 2:20 pm

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Cubs starter Steele started fast this season in top form but has regressed lately going   1-2 with a 5.40 ERA in his last four trips to the hill. Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter like Steele. Rays are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Meanwhile, the  CHICAGO CUBS are 14-24  against the money line against right-handed starters like Eflin this season.TAMPA BAY is 35-12 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. 

Cubs are 2-7 in their last 9 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.Cubs are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series

EFLIN is 2-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.27 and a WHIP of 1.326.

STEELE is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 13.48 and a WHIP of 2.247.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) are 15-40 L/5 seasons for a  go against 73% conversion rate.

Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win 

Alex’s Pick Tampa Bay Rays: -133

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