MLB ML Destroyer

Premium Pick Win

Boston Red Sox (29-27) vs Tampa Bay Rays (40-18)

Saturday, June 03, 2023 at 1:10 pm

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After an extremely fast start to their season the Rays have finally cooled off as is evident by losing 8 of their L/11 games. Im betting on that regression to continue here today in Fenway vs a Red Sox team averaging 6 rpg at home this season. It must be noted the Boston's starting pitchers have allowed four or fewer earned runs in 12 of the past 14 games . Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Bos sox starter Whitlock. 

BOSTON is 9-2  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.

TAMPA BAY is 8-19  against the money line in road games in June games over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - AL team with a high slugging percentage (.440 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or worse), cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games and are 11-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate. 

Play on Boston to win 

Alex’s Pick Boston Red Sox: -111

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