NBA- Thunder vs Mavs side

Premium Pick Win

Oklahoma City Thunder (61-25) vs Dallas Mavericks (54-34)

Tuesday, May 07, 2024 at 9:30 pm

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Dallas super star Doncic is dealing with a right knee sprain that has hindered him since just before the playoffs and Im sure its not getting better considering the amount of playing time hes getting. Im betting on the thunders  Luguentz Dort slowing Doncic down and for the Thunder to have the edge here at home tonight. Note: The Thunder won three of the four meetings between the teams this season, including both matchups in Oklahoma City. Rinse and repeat is my call here tonight along with the cover.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-8 ATS in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-14 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.4 . 

NBA Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, on Tuesday nights are 3-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 8-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

Alex’s Pick Oklahoma City Thunder: -3.5 -110

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