Cleveland Guardians (76-66) vs Minnesota Twins (72-70)
Friday, September 16, 2022 at 7:10 pm
I like Bailey Ober and think he will be a strong starter for the Twins at some point in his career, but I don't love him in this spot and I do like the Guardians to grab the victory. Cleveland has dominated this series as of late, including a three-game sweep on the road the last time these teams met. Bailey Ober had a few rehab starts in A and AAA and although the WHIP was strong, the home runs allowed are concerning. Ober was missing some bats via the strikeout but as we have seen from Ober in his MLB career, those Ks don't usually carry over from the minors to the majors. Ober faces the team that has the lowest K rate in the league vs. RHP and I don't think it will benefit him at all. Not to mention, Ober is not expected to go too deep into this game and I can't trust this Twins bullpen to go the distance. With Arraez not at 100% and McKenzie pitching so well against the Twins in his last start, I have to side with the home team here at a great price.