Toronto Blue Jays (82-63) vs Baltimore Orioles (75-68)
Sunday, September 18, 2022 at 1:37 pm
This is not my favorite MLB card of the year with a ton of big favorites and not a lot of value on the board, but getting plus money on the run line with the Jays is a great selection. Toronto has already covered the run line in the first two games with an extra run to spare in this series. Alek Manoah is in great form and Dean Kremer is starting to regress on the bump, so we have two starters going in different directions. I think the Jays have a much better bullpen and a much better lineup, and with the way Toronto has played at home, it's hard not to like the Jays at this price. The Blue Jays have a top-10 team OPS and the third-lowest K rate vs. RHP in the last month, which bodes very well against a starter struggling to miss bats. I think the Jays get to Kremer early and knock him out of this game very early. Give me Toronto -1.5.