Ron's Sunday NFL Play of the Day

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3) vs Green Bay Packers (3-5)

Sunday, November 12, 2023 at 1:00 pm

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I like the over in GB vs. PIT. The Packers are coming off their best offensive performance of the season vs. LAR. Love was accurate, the run game was strong for over 180 rushing yards and just under 5.0 YPC, and GB put up 391 total yards (their most in a game this season). The Steelers' offense had its second-best week in terms of total yards last week vs. TEN. The run game exploded for 5.5 YPC, which was the first time PIT eclipsed five or more yards per carry all season. A banged-up Pickett was not the sharpest but the Steelers still had over 20 first downs and 20 points on the board in the W. I think the Steelers' defense is one of the most overrated units in the NFL as it is a "bend but don't break" defense. It concedes a lot of yards but relies on big plays to get it out of danger. In fact, PIT's defense has conceded 340 or more total yards in every game except one (335 to BAL) this season. Love and the offense should have some confidence going into this matchup and I think they can move the ball on the Steelers. The Packers' defense has been worse on the road from a total yards, first downs, YPC allowed, opposing QB completion %, and passing yards per game perspective. This total is set far too low, so give me the over. 

Ron’s Pick Over: 38 -115

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