Fargo's Fenway Bowl Dominator (+$11,680 Run)

Boston College Eagles (6-6) vs SMU Mustangs (11-2)

Thursday, December 28, 2023 at 11:00 am

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This is a play on the BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES for our Fenway Bowl Dominator. This line is a big overreaction to the finishes for both teams but we have to look what each faced. Boston College opened the season 1-3 and then won five straight games before closing 0-3 and while it played in the weak ACC, it is still a power five conference. The Eagles were hit hard by injuries at the end of the season but the month-long time off will help with some of those plus extra practice time for the new players. They lost hardly anyone in the transfer portal and come in more battle tested as the Eagles played eight power five teams with mixed results but as least there were on the schedule. Boston College is playing this game right down the street from campus and while a tropical destination is always nice, playing in their backyard is a big advantage. SMU closed strong with nine straight wins including a victory over Tulane in the AAC Championship but the Green Wave were not the same team and the Mustangs overall have played the No. 155 ranked schedule. They played only two power five teams, losing both, and the AAC was bad all-around which inflated their stats, wins and scoring differentials. SMU had only three wins over bowl teams with the other two coming against Memphis and Rice which were by a combined nine points away from home. Quarterback Preston Stone was lost for the season and Kevin Jennings was below average in his only start against Tulane. Boston College will run and that is how it succeeds in this matchup as it is 6-0 when rushing for 185 yards or more, 0-6 when not while SMU is 11-0 when allowing fewer than 189 rushing yards, 0-2 when not. 10* (250) Boston College Eagles

Matt’s Pick Boston College Eagles: +10 -108

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