Minnesota Twins (43-35) vs Baltimore Orioles (35-42)
Friday, July 01, 2022 at 8:10 pm
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Friday Underdog Double Play. Baltimore has been sneaky good of late and while it is coming off a loss against Seattle on Wednesday, it is catching a good number here. The Orioles 21-18 over their last 39 games and while that may look average, being an underdog in 33 of those games has brought home a tremendous ROI. They are eight games under .500 on the road but have shown a profit thanks to underdogs numbers like this. Spencer Watkins has some below average numbers but has only one real bad start and has been fairly solid on the road with a 1.39 WHIP in four outings. Baltimore is 14-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning percentage between .540 and .620 this season while going 6-0 after a loss by six runs or more this season. Minnesota has lost two straight and five of its last eight games but it been plodding along for a while now as since a six-game winning streak was ended on May 24, the Twins are 15-20 and have seen a big lead evaporate. They have been favored in 20 of those 35 games so they have been completely opposite of Baltimore in extended profit. They are 23-17 at home and send Joe Ryan to the hill who got off to a great tart but has struggled with a 5.74 ERA and 1.47 WHIP over his last three starts and Minnesota is 3-3 in his six home starts. The Twins are 4-9 in their last 13 games when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game. Here, we play on road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games and with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 2.00 over his last five starts. This situation is 27-19 (58.7 percent since 1997 and while the percentage seems low, the units are at +35.3. 9* (921) Baltimore Orioles